Stock Analysis

Invesque Inc.'s (TSE:IVQ) Shares Bounce 55% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

TSX:IVQ
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Invesque Inc. (TSE:IVQ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 55% share price jump in the last month. But the last month did very little to improve the 61% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Invesque's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Real Estate industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.3x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Invesque

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:IVQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 23rd 2024

What Does Invesque's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Invesque's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Invesque will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Invesque's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Invesque's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Invesque would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.2% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 3.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Invesque's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Invesque's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that Invesque maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Invesque has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.