Stock Analysis

Will Gemina Laboratories (CSE:GLAB) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

CNSX:GLAB
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So should Gemina Laboratories (CSE:GLAB) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the CA Biotechs industry.

When Might Gemina Laboratories Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at July 2022, Gemina Laboratories had cash of CA$3.0m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$4.4m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of July 2022. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:GLAB Debt to Equity History October 17th 2022

How Is Gemina Laboratories' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Gemina Laboratories doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just CA$5.4k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. The skyrocketing cash burn up 100% year on year certainly tests our nerves. It's fair to say that sort of rate of increase cannot be maintained for very long, without putting pressure on the balance sheet. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Gemina Laboratories due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Gemina Laboratories Raise More Cash Easily?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Gemina Laboratories shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Gemina Laboratories has a market capitalisation of CA$31m and burnt through CA$4.4m last year, which is 14% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Is Gemina Laboratories' Cash Burn A Worry?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Gemina Laboratories' cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Summing up, we think the Gemina Laboratories' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 7 warning signs for Gemina Laboratories (4 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Gemina Laboratories may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.