Stock Analysis

A Look At TVA Group's (TSE:TVA.B) Share Price Returns

TSX:TVA.B
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While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the TVA Group Inc. (TSE:TVA.B) share price has gained 24% in the last three months. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 56% after a long stretch. So is the recent increase sufficient to restore confidence in the stock? Not yet. We'd err towards caution given the long term under-performance.

See our latest analysis for TVA Group

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, TVA Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

The revenue fall of 1.8% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But it's quite possible the market had expected better; a closer look at the revenue trends might explain the pessimism.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:TVA.B Earnings and Revenue Growth December 3rd 2020

It is of course excellent to see how TVA Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at TVA Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that TVA Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 50% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 9% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand TVA Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TVA Group that you should be aware of.

But note: TVA Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TVA Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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