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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Cineplex Inc.'s (TSE:CGX) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump
Cineplex Inc. (TSE:CGX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 56% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Cineplex's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Cineplex
What Does Cineplex's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Cineplex has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cineplex will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cineplex?
Cineplex's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 214% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Cineplex is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does Cineplex's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Cineplex's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Cineplex currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Having said that, be aware Cineplex is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CGX
Cineplex
Operates as an entertainment and media company in Canada and internationally.