Stock Analysis

Noram Lithium (CVE:NRM) Will Have To Spend Its Cash Wisely

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Noram Lithium (CVE:NRM) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Noram Lithium

Advertisement

Does Noram Lithium Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Noram Lithium last reported its balance sheet in October 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth CA$6.1m. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$8.4m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 9 months from October 2023. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NRM Debt to Equity History January 11th 2024

How Is Noram Lithium's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Noram Lithium didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 84%. While this spending increase is no doubt intended to drive growth, if the trend continues the company's cash runway will shrink very quickly. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Noram Lithium due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Easily Can Noram Lithium Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Noram Lithium shareholders should already be thinking about how easy it might be for it to raise further cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Noram Lithium's cash burn of CA$8.4m is about 27% of its CA$31m market capitalisation. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Noram Lithium's Cash Burn?

We must admit that we don't think Noram Lithium is in a very strong position, when it comes to its cash burn. Although we can understand if some shareholders find its cash burn relative to its market cap acceptable, we can't ignore the fact that we consider its increasing cash burn to be downright troublesome. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 4 warning signs for Noram Lithium that investors should know when investing in the stock.

Of course Noram Lithium may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Noram Lithium might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:NRM

Noram Lithium

Through its subsidiary Green Energy Resources Inc., engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral exploration properties in Canada and the United States.

Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
9 users have followed this narrative
5 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$126.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$242.5% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

CO
PSIX logo
composite32 on Power Solutions International ·

PSIX The timing of insider sales is a serious question mark

Fair Value:US$37.3845.7% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TA
Talos
MRVL logo
Talos on Marvell Technology ·

The Great Strategy Swap – Selling "Old Auto" to Buy "Future Light"

Fair Value:US$155.3740.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TA
Talos
NVDA logo
Talos on NVIDIA ·

Not a Bubble, But the "Industrial Revolution 4.0" Engine

Fair Value:US$294.9238.5% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.6% undervalued
112 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.6% undervalued
946 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3407.2% undervalued
148 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative