Stock Analysis

Does Northern Graphite (CVE:NGC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Northern Graphite Corporation (CVE:NGC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Northern Graphite

What Is Northern Graphite's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Northern Graphite had CA$20.7m of debt, an increase on CA$15.8m, over one year. However, it also had CA$1.35m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$19.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NGC Debt to Equity History June 30th 2024

How Healthy Is Northern Graphite's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Northern Graphite had liabilities of CA$16.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$63.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CA$1.35m in cash and CA$3.90m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$74.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$16.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Northern Graphite would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Northern Graphite's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Northern Graphite reported revenue of CA$19m, which is a gain of 17%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Northern Graphite produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$17m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through CA$6.3m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Northern Graphite (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northern Graphite might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:NGC

Northern Graphite

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of graphite and other mineral properties in Canada and Namibia.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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