Stock Analysis

Even after rising 15% this past week, Mako Mining (CVE:MKO) shareholders are still down 58% over the past year

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TSXV:MKO
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Mako Mining Corp. (CVE:MKO) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 24% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been disappointing. Like a receding glacier in a warming world, the share price has melted 58% in that period. The share price recovery is not so impressive when you consider the fall. It may be that the fall was an overreaction.

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$13m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.

Our analysis indicates that MKO is potentially overvalued!

Mako Mining isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last twelve months, Mako Mining increased its revenue by 208%. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. In contrast the share price is down 58% over twelve months. Yes, the market can be a fickle mistress. This could mean hype has come out of the stock because the bottom line is concerning investors. We'd definitely consider it a positive if the company is trending towards profitability. If you can see that happening, then perhaps consider adding this stock to your watchlist.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSXV:MKO Earnings and Revenue Growth December 3rd 2022

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Mako Mining's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Mako Mining shareholders are down 58% for the year, but the market itself is up 4.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Mako Mining better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mako Mining you should be aware of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mako Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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