Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Getty Copper Inc. (CVE:GTC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Our analysis indicates that GTC is potentially overvalued!
How Much Debt Does Getty Copper Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Getty Copper had debt of CA$2.32m, up from CA$1.98m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
A Look At Getty Copper's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Getty Copper had liabilities of CA$1.58m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$1.25m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$38.6k in cash and CA$3.3k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$2.78m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CA$4.27m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Getty Copper's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Getty Copper's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Getty Copper has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Getty Copper had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CA$151k at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$691k of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Getty Copper you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit concerning.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:GTC
Getty Copper
Engages in the acquisition and exploration of natural resource properties in Canada.
Moderate and overvalued.