Stock Analysis

Corsa Coal Corp. (CVE:CSO) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

TSXV:CSO
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The Corsa Coal Corp. (CVE:CSO) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 24%.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Corsa Coal may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 15x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Corsa Coal

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:CSO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 2nd 2024

How Has Corsa Coal Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Corsa Coal recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Corsa Coal will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Corsa Coal's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Corsa Coal?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Corsa Coal's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 53% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Corsa Coal's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Corsa Coal's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We're very surprised to see Corsa Coal currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Corsa Coal that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Corsa Coal is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.