Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Cerrado Gold Inc. (CVE:CERT) Hampers Share Price

TSXV:CERT
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x Cerrado Gold Inc. (CVE:CERT) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Cerrado Gold

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:CERT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 13th 2024

What Does Cerrado Gold's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Cerrado Gold has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cerrado Gold will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Cerrado Gold's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Cerrado Gold's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 2.8% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 114% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 27% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Cerrado Gold's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Cerrado Gold's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Cerrado Gold's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Cerrado Gold you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cerrado Gold, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.