Stock Analysis

After Leaping 28% Taseko Mines Limited (TSE:TKO) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

TSX:TKO
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Those holding Taseko Mines Limited (TSE:TKO) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The annual gain comes to 112% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, Taseko Mines may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.6x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Taseko Mines certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investorsโ€™ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Taseko Mines

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:TKO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Taseko Mines' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Taseko Mines would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 158% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 383% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 88% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Taseko Mines is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Taseko Mines' P/E?

Taseko Mines' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Taseko Mines' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Taseko Mines (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Taseko Mines might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.