Transcontinental Inc.

TSX:TCL.A Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$470.2m

Transcontinental Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Transcontinental's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 45.9% and 29% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 37.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-29.0%

Earnings growth rate

-37.20%

EPS growth rate

Packaging earnings growth22.0%
Revenue growth rate-45.9%
Future return on equity21.91%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Mar 14

Transcontinental Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders of Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 11% to...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 21

TCL.A: Special Dividend And New CEO Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target on Transcontinental by CA$0.14 to CA$7.71, citing updated fair value estimates, a slightly higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on resetting price targets for Transcontinental, with several firms cutting their 12 month views while keeping the discussion anchored on valuation assumptions and execution risks.
Narrative Update • Apr 06

TCL.A: Special Dividend Will Support Higher Future Returns Despite Lower P E Expectations

Analysts have cut their 12 month price target for Transcontinental from about CA$27.50 to roughly CA$7.85. They point to higher required returns, a lower assumed future P/E multiple and only modest improvements in profitability as key drivers of the reset.
Narrative Update • Mar 23

TCL.A: Special Dividend And Leadership Transition Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts now set their price target for Transcontinental at about CA$27.50, a small adjustment from roughly CA$27.67. This reflects updated views on revenue pressure, margin expectations and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

TCL.A: Printing Contract Renewal And Sector Sale Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their CA$ price target on Transcontinental, pointing to slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a marginally higher forward P/E outlook to justify the updated valuation. What's in the News Transcontinental has called a special shareholders meeting on February 2, 2026, to vote on a special resolution approving the sale of all issued and outstanding equity securities of entities that operate the Packaging Sector to ProAmpac Holdings Inc., under a stock purchase agreement dated December 7, 2025 (management proxy circular Schedule A).
Narrative Update • Feb 22

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Transcontinental slightly higher to CA$27.67. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and forward P/E that remain broadly in line with prior estimates.
Narrative Update • Feb 06

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Capital Return Changes

Analysts have nudged their price target for Transcontinental slightly higher to about CA$27.67 from roughly CA$27.14, citing updated fair value estimates and modest adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Transcontinental has called a special meeting of shareholders for February 2, 2026, to vote on a special resolution approving the sale of all issued and outstanding equity securities of the entities that operate the Packaging Sector under a stock purchase agreement with ProAmpac Holdings Inc.
Narrative Update • Jan 22

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Acquisition Opportunities

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Transcontinental to account for minor revisions to the discount rate, revenue growth expectations and profit margin assumptions, while keeping fair value steady at about $27.14 and the implied future P/E close to 41x. What's in the News Transcontinental extended its agreement with METRO for three years to provide multiple marketing services, including continued participation in the raddar print and digital flyer in Quebec and other potential Canadian markets, along with printing, in store marketing and content solutions (company client announcement).
Narrative Update • Jan 08

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Deals Will Support Future M&A Upside

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price expectations for Transcontinental. The updated target is now aligned to a fair value of about $27.14 per share, reflecting modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, without a change to the core valuation view.
Narrative Update • Dec 24

TCL.A: Future Printing Agreements Will Drive M&A And Shareholder Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Transcontinental to approximately $27.14 from about $26.86 per share, citing a higher long term valuation multiple despite weaker near term revenue growth expectations and a slightly softer profit margin outlook. What's in the News TC Transcontinental and The Globe and Mail renewed their long standing partnership with a new 10 year printing agreement, extending a 40 year relationship that is the longest in Canadian newspaper printing history (company announcement).
Analysis Article • Dec 16

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.225

Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) will pay a dividend of CA$0.225 on the 20th of January. The dividend yield will be...
Narrative Update • Dec 10

TCL.A: Future M&A Expansion Will Drive Shareholder Value Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Transcontinental from approximately $24.46 to $26.86 per share. This reflects slightly higher discount rate and future P/E assumptions, despite tempered expectations for revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Nov 28

The Returns At Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Aren't Growing

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Analysis Article • Jul 31

Do Transcontinental's (TSE:TCL.A) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article • May 01

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article • Apr 04

Here's Why We Think Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article • Mar 14

Transcontinental Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders of Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 11% to...
Analysis Article • Feb 12

Many Still Looking Away From Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.1x Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) may be sending bullish signals...
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New Narrative • Jan 27

Cost Optimization And Sustainable Packaging Will Drive Future Success

Focus on cost structure improvement and strategic divestments enhances profitability and streamlines operations toward higher-margin growth opportunities.
Analysis Article • Jan 11

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A)?

While Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention...
Analysis Article • Dec 15

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.225

The board of Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 20th of January, with...
Analysis Article • Oct 01

Here's Why Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article • Jun 13

There May Be Reason For Hope In Transcontinental's (TSE:TCL.A) Disappointing Earnings

Transcontinental Inc.'s ( TSE:TCL.A ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock...
Analysis Article • Jun 07

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Transcontinental Inc.'s (TSE:TCL.A) P/E Ratio

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Analysis Article • Nov 18

At CA$11.10, Is Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A) Worth Looking At Closely?

Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:TCL.A - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
10/31/20281,15993951561
10/31/20271,128871081786
10/31/20261,1493601001636
1/25/20262,750166124225N/A
10/26/20252,744171255354N/A
7/27/20252,376125395484N/A
4/27/20252,391130415505N/A
1/26/20252,390112402497N/A
10/27/20242,813121292414N/A
7/28/20242,843115349475N/A
4/28/20242,85092346486N/A
1/28/20242,91499355518N/A
10/29/20232,94186295472N/A
7/30/20232,963105149330N/A
4/30/20233,00411894270N/A
1/29/20232,97312482239N/A
10/30/20222,95614181221N/A
7/31/20222,93012070210N/A
5/1/20222,80411469215N/A
1/30/20222,71112185224N/A
10/31/20212,643131179315N/A
7/25/20212,523143200325N/A
4/25/20212,489163319417N/A
1/24/20212,491153346448N/A
10/25/20202,574132330427N/A
7/26/20202,709193374483N/A
4/26/20202,851148309427N/A
1/26/20202,993144302412N/A
10/27/20193,039166N/A432N/A
7/28/20193,077121N/A363N/A
4/28/20193,106137N/A350N/A
1/27/20192,873183N/A306N/A
10/28/20182,624213N/A313N/A
7/29/20182,322220N/A335N/A
4/29/20182,041250N/A331N/A
1/28/20182,005227N/A333N/A
10/29/20172,007212N/A324N/A
7/30/20172,036196N/A274N/A
4/30/20172,026193N/A286N/A
1/29/20172,024152N/A320N/A
10/31/20162,020146N/A273N/A
7/31/20162,004192N/A318N/A
4/30/20162,018189N/A333N/A
1/31/20162,011234N/A291N/A
10/31/20152,002237N/A287N/A
7/31/20152,010140N/A324N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TCL.A's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-29% per year).

Earnings vs Market: TCL.A's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-29% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TCL.A's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TCL.A's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-45.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TCL.A's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-45.9% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TCL.A's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 04:13
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/01/25
Annual Earnings2025/10/26

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Transcontinental Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David McFadgenATB Cormark
David McFadgenATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Stephen MacLeodBMO Capital Markets Equity Research