Stock Analysis

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.225

Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.225 per share on the 17th of April. This means the annual payment is 7.0% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Transcontinental

Transcontinental's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last dividend, Transcontinental is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 95% of cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 1.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 64%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSX:TCL.A Historic Dividend March 12th 2023

Transcontinental Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.58 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.90. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 4.5% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. Earnings per share has been sinking by 13% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Our Thoughts On Transcontinental's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Transcontinental's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Transcontinental is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Transcontinental that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:TCL.A

Transcontinental

Engages in the flexible packaging business in Canada, the United States, Latin America, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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