Stock Analysis

At CA$11.10, Is Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A) Worth Looking At Closely?

TSX:TCL.A
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Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the TSX over the last few months, increasing to CA$13.47 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CA$10.21. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Transcontinental's current trading price of CA$11.10 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Transcontinental’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Transcontinental

What's The Opportunity In Transcontinental?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 9.2x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy Transcontinental today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. Furthermore, Transcontinental’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

What does the future of Transcontinental look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:TCL.A Earnings and Revenue Growth November 18th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 10.0% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Transcontinental, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? TCL.A’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at TCL.A? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TCL.A, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Transcontinental and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Transcontinental, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.