Transcontinental Inc.

TSX:TCL.A Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$456.5m

Transcontinental Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Transcontinental's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -0.9%, while the Packaging industry saw earnings declining at 0.6% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 0.1% per year. Transcontinental's return on equity is 8.7%, and it has net margins of 6%.

Key information

-0.89%

Earnings growth rate

-0.045%

EPS growth rate

Packaging Industry Growth6.09%
Revenue growth rate-0.14%
Return on equity8.75%
Net Margin6.03%
Next Earnings Update04 Jun 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

TCL.A: Special Dividend And CEO Transition Will Drive Future Returns

Analysts have lowered their average 12 month price target for Transcontinental by about CA$20, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts appear to see value in Transcontinental even with lower price targets, suggesting they still view the stock as having upside relative to current trading levels after recalibrating their models.
Narrative Update May 11

TCL.A: Special Dividend And New CEO Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have cut their average 12 month price target for Transcontinental by about CA$20, citing revised expectations for the business that are reflected in updated discount rate, revenue and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports broadly align around lower 12 month price targets for Transcontinental, with cuts clustered around CA$20 to CA$20.75.
Narrative Update Apr 21

TCL.A: Special Dividend And New CEO Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target on Transcontinental by CA$0.14 to CA$7.71, citing updated fair value estimates, a slightly higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on resetting price targets for Transcontinental, with several firms cutting their 12 month views while keeping the discussion anchored on valuation assumptions and execution risks.
Narrative Update Apr 06

TCL.A: Special Dividend Will Support Higher Future Returns Despite Lower P E Expectations

Analysts have cut their 12 month price target for Transcontinental from about CA$27.50 to roughly CA$7.85. They point to higher required returns, a lower assumed future P/E multiple and only modest improvements in profitability as key drivers of the reset.
Narrative Update Mar 23

TCL.A: Special Dividend And Leadership Transition Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts now set their price target for Transcontinental at about CA$27.50, a small adjustment from roughly CA$27.67. This reflects updated views on revenue pressure, margin expectations and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Mar 08

TCL.A: Printing Contract Renewal And Sector Sale Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their CA$ price target on Transcontinental, pointing to slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a marginally higher forward P/E outlook to justify the updated valuation. What's in the News Transcontinental has called a special shareholders meeting on February 2, 2026, to vote on a special resolution approving the sale of all issued and outstanding equity securities of entities that operate the Packaging Sector to ProAmpac Holdings Inc., under a stock purchase agreement dated December 7, 2025 (management proxy circular Schedule A).
Narrative Update Feb 22

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Capital Returns

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Transcontinental slightly higher to CA$27.67. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and forward P/E that remain broadly in line with prior estimates.
Narrative Update Feb 06

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Capital Return Changes

Analysts have nudged their price target for Transcontinental slightly higher to about CA$27.67 from roughly CA$27.14, citing updated fair value estimates and modest adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Transcontinental has called a special meeting of shareholders for February 2, 2026, to vote on a special resolution approving the sale of all issued and outstanding equity securities of the entities that operate the Packaging Sector under a stock purchase agreement with ProAmpac Holdings Inc.
Narrative Update Jan 22

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Contracts Will Support Future Acquisition Opportunities

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Transcontinental to account for minor revisions to the discount rate, revenue growth expectations and profit margin assumptions, while keeping fair value steady at about $27.14 and the implied future P/E close to 41x. What's in the News Transcontinental extended its agreement with METRO for three years to provide multiple marketing services, including continued participation in the raddar print and digital flyer in Quebec and other potential Canadian markets, along with printing, in store marketing and content solutions (company client announcement).
Narrative Update Jan 08

TCL.A: Long-Term Printing Deals Will Support Future M&A Upside

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price expectations for Transcontinental. The updated target is now aligned to a fair value of about $27.14 per share, reflecting modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, without a change to the core valuation view.
Narrative Update Dec 24

TCL.A: Future Printing Agreements Will Drive M&A And Shareholder Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Transcontinental to approximately $27.14 from about $26.86 per share, citing a higher long term valuation multiple despite weaker near term revenue growth expectations and a slightly softer profit margin outlook. What's in the News TC Transcontinental and The Globe and Mail renewed their long standing partnership with a new 10 year printing agreement, extending a 40 year relationship that is the longest in Canadian newspaper printing history (company announcement).
Analysis Article Dec 16

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.225

Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) will pay a dividend of CA$0.225 on the 20th of January. The dividend yield will be...
Narrative Update Dec 10

TCL.A: Future M&A Expansion Will Drive Shareholder Value Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Transcontinental from approximately $24.46 to $26.86 per share. This reflects slightly higher discount rate and future P/E assumptions, despite tempered expectations for revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article Nov 28

The Returns At Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Aren't Growing

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Analysis Article Jul 31

Do Transcontinental's (TSE:TCL.A) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article May 01

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Apr 04

Here's Why We Think Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article Mar 14

Transcontinental Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders of Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 11% to...
Analysis Article Feb 12

Many Still Looking Away From Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.1x Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) may be sending bullish signals...
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New Narrative Jan 27

Cost Optimization And Sustainable Packaging Will Drive Future Success

Focus on cost structure improvement and strategic divestments enhances profitability and streamlines operations toward higher-margin growth opportunities.
Analysis Article Jan 11

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A)?

While Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention...
Analysis Article Dec 15

Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.225

The board of Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 20th of January, with...
Analysis Article Oct 01

Here's Why Transcontinental (TSE:TCL.A) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jun 13

There May Be Reason For Hope In Transcontinental's (TSE:TCL.A) Disappointing Earnings

Transcontinental Inc.'s ( TSE:TCL.A ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock...
Analysis Article Jun 07

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Transcontinental Inc.'s (TSE:TCL.A) P/E Ratio

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Analysis Article Nov 18

At CA$11.10, Is Transcontinental Inc. (TSE:TCL.A) Worth Looking At Closely?

Transcontinental Inc. ( TSE:TCL.A ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Transcontinental makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:TCL.A Revenue, expenses and earnings (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
25 Jan 262,750166150
26 Oct 252,744171150
27 Jul 252,376125150
27 Apr 252,391130150
26 Jan 252,390112150
27 Oct 242,813121150
28 Jul 242,843115140
28 Apr 242,85092140
28 Jan 242,91499140
29 Oct 232,94186140
30 Jul 232,963105130
30 Apr 233,004118120
29 Jan 232,973124120
30 Oct 222,956141110
31 Jul 222,93012070
01 May 222,80411480
30 Jan 222,71112180
31 Oct 212,64313180
25 Jul 212,523143110
25 Apr 212,489163110
24 Jan 212,491153110
25 Oct 202,574132110
26 Jul 202,709193340
26 Apr 202,851148340
26 Jan 202,993144340
27 Oct 193,039166340
28 Jul 193,077121290
28 Apr 193,106137290
27 Jan 192,873183280
28 Oct 182,624213280
29 Jul 182,322220250
29 Apr 182,041250250
28 Jan 182,005227250
29 Oct 172,007212250
30 Jul 172,036196250
30 Apr 172,026193250
29 Jan 172,024152240
31 Oct 162,020146240
31 Jul 162,004192220
30 Apr 162,018189220
31 Jan 162,011234220
31 Oct 152,002237220
31 Jul 152,010140250

Quality Earnings: TCL.A has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: TCL.A's current net profit margins (6%) are higher than last year (4.7%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TCL.A's earnings have declined by 0.9% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: TCL.A's earnings growth over the past year (47.9%) exceeds its 5-year average (-0.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: TCL.A earnings growth over the past year (47.9%) exceeded the Packaging industry -3.4%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: TCL.A's Return on Equity (8.7%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/03 21:27
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/03 00:00
Earnings2026/01/25
Annual Earnings2025/10/26

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Transcontinental Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David McFadgenATB Cormark
David McFadgenATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Stephen MacLeodBMO Capital Markets Equity Research