Stock Analysis

OceanaGold (TSX:OGC) Is Up 12.6% After High-Grade Discoveries and Drilling Expansion at Wharekirauponga

  • OceanaGold recently announced the results from ten drill holes at Wharekirauponga in New Zealand, including a 13.9-metre intercept at 25.8 grams per tonne gold, as well as permits to double its active drill rigs and expand its exploration program in the region.
  • These developments both extend high-grade mineralization and accelerate the company's efforts to define and convert resources, signaling considerable growth potential at Wharekirauponga.
  • We will explore how these exploration successes and increased drilling capacity at Wharekirauponga could shape OceanaGold's investment narrative.

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OceanaGold Investment Narrative Recap

OceanaGold’s investment case centers on its ability to grow high-grade gold resources while managing operational and cost risks across multiple sites. The latest high-grade drill results and increased drilling capacity at Wharekirauponga could strengthen the company’s reserve base and support its resource conversion goals, but they may not directly address the most pressing short-term risk: ongoing operational challenges and higher costs at Haile and Didipio, which could still weigh on near-term margins. Among recent updates, the company’s confirmation of 2025 production guidance just weeks ago stands out. This guidance maintained expectations of a strong fourth quarter and aligns with the timing and scale of the latest Wharekirauponga results, tying exploration momentum to broader operational performance and investor outlooks for near-term earnings. Yet, it is important for investors to recognize that despite promising progress at Wharekirauponga, the harder-than-expected ore at Haile could...

Read the full narrative on OceanaGold (it's free!)

OceanaGold's outlook anticipates $2.2 billion in revenue and $764.2 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a forecast annual revenue growth rate of 12.7% and reflects a $388.4 million increase in earnings from the current $375.8 million.

Uncover how OceanaGold's forecasts yield a CA$40.31 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:OGC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
TSX:OGC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from as low as A$5.87 to as high as A$148.29. With recent exploration success as a catalyst, consider how cost concerns at Haile may shape future investor sentiment.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on OceanaGold - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own OceanaGold Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your OceanaGold research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free OceanaGold research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate OceanaGold's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSX:OGC

OceanaGold

A gold and copper producer, engages in exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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