Stock Analysis

Lucara Diamond Corp.'s (TSE:LUC) last week's 27% decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake

TSX:LUC
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Key Insights

  • Lucara Diamond's significant retail investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • The top 22 shareholders own 42% of the company
  • Insiders have been selling lately

Every investor in Lucara Diamond Corp. (TSE:LUC) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 58% to be precise, is retail investors. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As market cap fell to CA$154m last week, retail investors would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Lucara Diamond.

See our latest analysis for Lucara Diamond

ownership-breakdown
TSX:LUC Ownership Breakdown May 13th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Lucara Diamond?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Lucara Diamond. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Lucara Diamond, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:LUC Earnings and Revenue Growth May 13th 2025

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Lucara Diamond. Nemesia S.À R.L. is currently the largest shareholder, with 26% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 12% and 1.2% of the stock.

Our studies suggest that the top 22 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Lucara Diamond

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Lucara Diamond Corp. in their own names. We do note, however, it is possible insiders have an indirect interest through a private company or other corporate structure. It appears that the board holds about CA$1.1m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of CA$154m. Many tend to prefer to see a board with bigger shareholdings. A good next step might be to take a look at this free summary of insider buying and selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, collectively holds 58% of Lucara Diamond shares. This size of ownership gives investors from the general public some collective power. They can and probably do influence decisions on executive compensation, dividend policies and proposed business acquisitions.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 26%, of the company's shares. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Lucara Diamond better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Lucara Diamond (including 1 which is concerning) .

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.