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These 4 Measures Indicate That Fortuna Silver Mines (TSE:FVI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (TSE:FVI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Fortuna Silver Mines
How Much Debt Does Fortuna Silver Mines Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Fortuna Silver Mines had debt of US$198.0m, up from US$159.9m in one year. However, it also had US$110.7m in cash, and so its net debt is US$87.3m.
How Strong Is Fortuna Silver Mines' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Fortuna Silver Mines had liabilities of US$145.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$458.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$110.7m as well as receivables valued at US$84.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$408.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Fortuna Silver Mines has a market capitalization of US$727.6m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Fortuna Silver Mines's net debt is only 0.30 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Fortuna Silver Mines grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fortuna Silver Mines can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Fortuna Silver Mines burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Fortuna Silver Mines is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Fortuna Silver Mines is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Fortuna Silver Mines (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FVI
Fortuna Mining
Engages in the precious and base metal mining in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Côte d’Ivoire.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.