Stock Analysis

Despite Its High P/E Ratio, Is Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC) Still Undervalued?

TSX:IFC
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This article is for investors who would like to improve their understanding of price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll show how you can use Intact Financial Corporation's (TSE:IFC) P/E ratio to inform your assessment of the investment opportunity. Intact Financial has a price to earnings ratio of 23.54, based on the last twelve months. That corresponds to an earnings yield of approximately 4.2%.

View our latest analysis for Intact Financial

How Do I Calculate Intact Financial's Price To Earnings Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Intact Financial:

P/E of 23.54 = CA$112.79 ÷ CA$4.79 (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2018.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each CA$1 of company earnings. That isn't necessarily good or bad, but a high P/E implies relatively high expectations of what a company can achieve in the future.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Intact Financial shrunk earnings per share by 17% over the last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 3.0% per year over the last five years.

How Does Intact Financial's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

The P/E ratio essentially measures market expectations of a company. The image below shows that Intact Financial has a higher P/E than the average (11.5) P/E for companies in the insurance industry.

TSX:IFC Price Estimation Relative to Market, April 4th 2019
TSX:IFC Price Estimation Relative to Market, April 4th 2019

That means that the market expects Intact Financial will outperform other companies in its industry. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Intact Financial's Balance Sheet

Net debt totals 11% of Intact Financial's market cap. This could bring some additional risk, and reduce the number of investment options for management; worth remembering if you compare its P/E to businesses without debt.

The Bottom Line On Intact Financial's P/E Ratio

Intact Financial trades on a P/E ratio of 23.5, which is above the CA market average of 14.9. With modest debt but no EPS growth in the last year, it's fair to say the P/E implies some optimism about future earnings, from the market.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this freevisualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this freelist of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.