The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, MAV Beauty Brands Inc. (TSE:MAV) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for MAV Beauty Brands
How Much Debt Does MAV Beauty Brands Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 MAV Beauty Brands had debt of US$144.1m, up from US$109.4m in one year. However, it also had US$14.2m in cash, and so its net debt is US$129.8m.
How Strong Is MAV Beauty Brands' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MAV Beauty Brands had liabilities of US$18.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$170.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$14.2m and US$26.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$148.7m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$162.6m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on MAV Beauty Brands' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
MAV Beauty Brands has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that MAV Beauty Brands grew its EBIT at 19% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MAV Beauty Brands's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, MAV Beauty Brands reported free cash flow worth 15% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
To be frank both MAV Beauty Brands's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that MAV Beauty Brands's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example MAV Beauty Brands has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TSX:MAV
Old MAV Wind-Down
Old MAV Wind-Down Ltd. operates as a personal care company worldwide.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.