Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc.'s (CSE:AAWH.U) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Personal Products industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Ascend Wellness Holdings
What Does Ascend Wellness Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Ascend Wellness Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ascend Wellness Holdings.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ascend Wellness Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.7%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 46% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.3% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.7% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Ascend Wellness Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Ascend Wellness Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Ascend Wellness Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ascend Wellness Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.