The board of Extendicare Inc. (TSE:EXE) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.04 per share on the 16th of October. This makes the dividend yield 7.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Check out our latest analysis for Extendicare
Extendicare Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 2,838% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
EPS is set to fall by 43.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 4,696%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Extendicare's Track Record Isn't Great
The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the last 10 years, but it has slowly been decreasing. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from CA$0.84 total annually to CA$0.48. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 5.4% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Extendicare's EPS has fallen by approximately 43% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
Extendicare's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Extendicare's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Extendicare has 5 warning signs (and 4 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About TSX:EXE
Extendicare
Through its subsidiaries, provides care and services for seniors in Canada.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.