Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Tethys Petroleum Limited's (CVE:TPL) Muted Earnings

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider Tethys Petroleum Limited (CVE:TPL) as an attractive investment with its 8.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Tethys Petroleum has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Tethys Petroleum

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:TPL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tethys Petroleum will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Tethys Petroleum's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 106%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Tethys Petroleum is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Tethys Petroleum revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Tethys Petroleum that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Tethys Petroleum. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tethys Petroleum might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:TPL

Tethys Petroleum

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas fields in Kazakhstan.

Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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