Stock Analysis

Slammed 26% PetroTal Corp. (CVE:TAL) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

TSX:TAL
Source: Shutterstock

PetroTal Corp. (CVE:TAL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 54% in the last year.

Since its price has dipped substantially, PetroTal's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

PetroTal certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for PetroTal

pe
TSXV:TAL Price Based on Past Earnings September 27th 2022
Keen to find out how analysts think PetroTal's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is PetroTal's Growth Trending?

PetroTal's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 211% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.1% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that PetroTal's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, PetroTal's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of PetroTal's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for PetroTal (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.