Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Criterium Energy Ltd. (CVE:CEQ) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Criterium Energy
What Is Criterium Energy's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Criterium Energy had CA$39.2m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it also had CA$8.53m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$30.7m.
A Look At Criterium Energy's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Criterium Energy had liabilities of CA$21.4m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$74.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$8.53m and CA$3.34m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$83.9m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$8.92m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Criterium Energy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Criterium Energy's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, Criterium Energy shareholders no doubt hope it can fund itself until it can sell some combustibles.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Criterium Energy had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$4.0m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through CA$4.0m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock, and we're worried its share price could sink faster than than a dingy with a great white shark attacking it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Criterium Energy is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 4 of those are significant...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:CEQ
Criterium Energy
Engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas in Indonesia and Canada.
Moderate and good value.