Stock Analysis

Veren (TSE:VRN) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.115

Veren Inc. (TSE:VRN) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.115 per share on the 1st of April. This makes the dividend yield 6.5%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Veren

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Veren's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 100% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 54%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 61.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 44% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
TSX:VRN Historic Dividend March 5th 2025

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was CA$2.76, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.46. The dividend has fallen 83% over that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Veren's Dividend Might Lack Growth

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. It's encouraging to see that Veren has been growing its earnings per share at 38% a year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely Veren is paying out 100% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

Our Thoughts On Veren's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Veren's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Veren that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:VRN

Veren

Engages in acquiring, developing, and holding interests in petroleum assets operations across western Canada.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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