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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Ur-Energy Inc.'s (TSE:URE) 30% Share Price Plunge
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Ur-Energy Inc. (TSE:URE) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Ur-Energy is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 14.6x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Oil and Gas industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Ur-Energy
What Does Ur-Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Ur-Energy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ur-Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Ur-Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 107% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.6% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ur-Energy's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Ur-Energy's P/S
Ur-Energy's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Ur-Energy shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ur-Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:URE
Ur-Energy
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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