Stock Analysis

Tourmaline Oil (TSE:TOU) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.32

TSX:TOU
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The board of Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TSE:TOU) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.32 per share on the 28th of June. This makes the dividend yield 7.7%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Tourmaline Oil

Tourmaline Oil's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Tourmaline Oil's dividend was only 22% of earnings, however it was paying out 125% of free cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 66.7%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 63% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
TSX:TOU Historic Dividend May 29th 2024

Tourmaline Oil's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Tourmaline Oil has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was CA$0.32, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$5.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 59% over that duration. Tourmaline Oil has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Tourmaline Oil has grown earnings per share at 30% per year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Tourmaline Oil's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Tourmaline Oil that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.