- Canada
- /
- Oil and Gas
- /
- TSX:PPL
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pembina Pipeline Corporation's (TSE:PPL) Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.3x Pembina Pipeline Corporation (TSE:PPL) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Pembina Pipeline has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Pembina Pipeline
How Is Pembina Pipeline's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Pembina Pipeline's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 33%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.1% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Pembina Pipeline's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Pembina Pipeline's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Pembina Pipeline that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Pembina Pipeline's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:PPL
Established dividend payer and fair value.