Stock Analysis

Here's Why NuVista Energy (TSE:NVA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSX:NVA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NuVista Energy Ltd. (TSE:NVA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does NuVista Energy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NuVista Energy had debt of CA$163.7m at the end of March 2025, a reduction from CA$215.0m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

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TSX:NVA Debt to Equity History May 27th 2025

How Strong Is NuVista Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NuVista Energy had liabilities of CA$292.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$859.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$2.68m as well as receivables valued at CA$135.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$1.01b.

This deficit isn't so bad because NuVista Energy is worth CA$2.81b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

View our latest analysis for NuVista Energy

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

NuVista Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.20. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 15.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that NuVista Energy grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NuVista Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, NuVista Energy's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, NuVista Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! All these things considered, it appears that NuVista Energy can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that NuVista Energy insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NuVista Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.