Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tidewater Renewables
How Much Debt Does Tidewater Renewables Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Tidewater Renewables had CA$301.5m of debt, up from CA$256.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CA$12.1m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$289.3m.
How Strong Is Tidewater Renewables' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tidewater Renewables had liabilities of CA$282.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$277.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$12.1m as well as receivables valued at CA$14.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$532.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$311.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Tidewater Renewables would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tidewater Renewables's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Tidewater Renewables wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 140%, to CA$189m. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!
Caveat Emptor
Even though Tidewater Renewables managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$3.3m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CA$75m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tidewater Renewables (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tidewater Renewables might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:LCFS
Tidewater Renewables
Engages in production of renewable fuel in North America.