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Tidewater Renewables Ltd.TSX:LCFS Stock Report

Market Cap CA$463.9m
Share Price
CA$12.70
CA$7.94
60.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y365.2%
7D8.8%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.

TSX:LCFS Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$463.9m

Tidewater Renewables (LCFS) Stock Overview

Engages in production of renewable fuel in North America. More details

LCFS fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

LCFS Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 8 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Tidewater Renewables
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$12.70
52 Week HighCA$13.42
52 Week LowCA$2.14
Beta0.74
1 Month Change38.04%
3 Month Change169.07%
1 Year Change365.20%
3 Year Change69.56%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-14.48%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 03

LCFS: Repricing Risk And Execution Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their CA$ price targets on Tidewater Renewables by amounts such as CA$1.50 and CA$4.50. These changes reflect updated views on the stock's risk profile and future earnings multiple, while key growth and margin assumptions remain broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update Apr 19

LCFS: Refreshed Risk And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Tidewater Renewables by CA$2.25, with recent CA$1.50 and CA$4.50 target increases reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently reset their price targets higher, including CA$1.50 and CA$4.50 adjustments, which together point to a more constructive view on Tidewater Renewables' potential fair value.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 03

LCFS: Repricing Risk And Execution Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their CA$ price targets on Tidewater Renewables by amounts such as CA$1.50 and CA$4.50. These changes reflect updated views on the stock's risk profile and future earnings multiple, while key growth and margin assumptions remain broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update Apr 19

LCFS: Refreshed Risk And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Future Earnings Profile

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Tidewater Renewables by CA$2.25, with recent CA$1.50 and CA$4.50 target increases reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently reset their price targets higher, including CA$1.50 and CA$4.50 adjustments, which together point to a more constructive view on Tidewater Renewables' potential fair value.
Narrative Update Apr 04

LCFS: Updated Risk Assumptions Will Shape Future P/E Compression Or Support

Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Tidewater Renewables from CA$5.00 to about CA$7.94, citing higher price targets from firms such as RBC Capital and National Bank, along with updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets, including moves of about CA$1.50 and CA$4.50, which supports the higher fair value estimate of roughly CA$7.94.
Narrative Update Mar 21

LCFS: Unchanged Fundamentals Will Drive Future P/E Compression Risk

Analysts have maintained their CA$5.00 fair value estimate for Tidewater Renewables, with only very small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that result in an essentially unchanged price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The CA$5.00 fair value estimate is unchanged, reflecting an effectively steady view of intrinsic value.
Narrative Update Mar 07

LCFS: Restored Operations Will Not Prevent Future P/E Compression

Analysts have maintained their CA$5.00 price target on Tidewater Renewables, noting only very small adjustments to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as they refine their models rather than change their overall view. What's in the News Tidewater Renewables reported a planned seven day outage at its renewable diesel and renewable hydrogen complex in Prince George, British Columbia, to reinstall a repaired component following an earlier equipment issue.
Narrative Update Feb 20

LCFS: Restored Operations And Sector P/E Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their average price target for Tidewater Renewables at CA$5.00, citing only minor adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E that do not materially change their view of fair value. What's in the News Tidewater Renewables reported that it safely completed a planned seven day outage at its renewable diesel and renewable hydrogen complex in Prince George, British Columbia, to reinstall a repaired component.
Narrative Update Feb 06

LCFS: Improved Reliability And Sector P/E Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts lifted their price target on Tidewater Renewables to C$6.00 from C$5.50, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E that align with recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Tidewater Renewables centers on how its valuation lines up with expected execution and earnings visibility, which informed the revised C$6.00 price target.
Narrative Update Jan 23

LCFS: Improved Reliability And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Tidewater Renewables to C$6.00 from C$5.50, reflecting updated views on the company that are consistent with recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models for Tidewater Renewables are signaling a more constructive stance on the stock, while still highlighting execution and risk factors that could influence how the shares trade around the new C$6.00 price target.
Narrative Update Jan 08

LCFS: Improved Project Execution And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Tidewater Renewables to C$6.00 from C$5.50, citing incremental adjustments to valuation inputs and support from recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Analysts lifting their price target to C$6.00 suggest a modest upgrade in how they are valuing Tidewater Renewables, while still maintaining a more neutral overall view on the stock.
Narrative Update Dec 15

LCFS: Lower Risk Profile Will Drive Shares Higher On Improved Project Execution

Analysts have raised their price target on Tidewater Renewables to approximately C$6.00 from about C$5.50, citing modest improvements in the company’s risk profile and valuation outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the modest price target increase as a signal that Tidewater Renewables is making incremental progress on de-risking its project pipeline and demonstrating clearer visibility on near term cash flows.
Narrative Update Dec 01

LCFS: Improved Margin Outlook Will Drive Shares Higher Amid Sector Recovery

Analysts have increased their price target for Tidewater Renewables from C$5.50 to C$6.00, citing improved profit margin expectations and updated sector outlooks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the recent price target increase as a sign of growing confidence in Tidewater Renewables' ability to deliver improved profit margins.
Narrative Update Nov 17

LCFS: Sustained Sector Momentum And Project Ramp-Up Will Strengthen Outlook

Analysts have increased their price target for Tidewater Renewables from C$4.19 to C$5.00, citing improved revenue forecasts and a lower discount rate, although the outlook for profit margin has been reduced. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlighted the recent price target increase, reflecting confidence in Tidewater Renewables' ability to deliver revenue growth ahead of previous forecasts.
Analysis Article Nov 16

CA$5.00 - That's What Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Is Worth After These Results

As you might know, Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) last week released its latest third-quarter, and things did...
Analysis Article Nov 04

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS)

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...
Analysis Article Aug 23

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.'s (TSE:LCFS) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the...
Analysis Article Aug 08

Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has No Shortage Of Debt

TSX:LCFS 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Tidewater Renewables's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Analysis Article May 08

Estimating The Fair Value Of Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Tidewater Renewables fair value estimate is CA$2.25 Tidewater...
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 29

British Columbia Regulation Will Boost Renewable Diesel Production

Regulatory changes in British Columbia and potential U.S. import duties are expected to boost demand and market share, enhancing Tidewater's revenue and margins.
Analysis Article Mar 17

Improved Revenues Required Before Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Stock's 282% Jump Looks Justified

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 282% after a shaky period...
Analysis Article Mar 01

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Tidewater Renewables' (TSE:LCFS) Returns On Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...
Analysis Article Jan 23

Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Nov 10

Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? A business that's potentially...
Analysis Article Aug 16

Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Debt Sensibly?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Aug 13

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Beat Analyst Profit Forecasts, And Analysts Have New Estimates

It's been a good week for Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) shareholders, because the company has just released...
Analysis Article Aug 12

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Revenue Forecasts

Today is shaping up negative for Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...
Analysis Article Mar 12

News Flash: 6 Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Earnings Are Under Threat

The analysts covering Tidewater Renewables Ltd. ( TSE:LCFS ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...

Shareholder Returns

LCFSCA Oil and GasCA Market
7D8.8%0.9%1.6%
1Y365.2%56.6%33.7%

Return vs Industry: LCFS exceeded the Canadian Oil and Gas industry which returned 56.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LCFS exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 33.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LCFS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LCFS volatility
LCFS Average Weekly Movement9.0%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.6%
Market Average Movement10.2%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market17.9%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.9%

Stable Share Price: LCFS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: LCFS's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
202179Jeremy Baineswww.tidewater-renewables.com

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. engages in production of renewable fuel in North America. Its flagship asset is the renewable diesel & renewable hydrogen complex that is located adjacent to the Prince George Refinery. It intends to focus on the production of low carbon fuels, including renewable diesel, renewable hydrogen, and renewable natural gas.

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Fundamentals Summary

How do Tidewater Renewables's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LCFS fundamental statistics
Market capCA$463.85m
Earnings (TTM)CA$8.20m
Revenue (TTM)CA$283.90m
56.6x
P/E Ratio
1.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
LCFS income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$283.90m
Cost of RevenueCA$229.30m
Gross ProfitCA$54.60m
Other ExpensesCA$46.40m
EarningsCA$8.20m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.22
Gross Margin19.23%
Net Profit Margin2.89%
Debt/Equity Ratio118.0%

How did LCFS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/24 12:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Trevor ReynoldsAcumen Capital Finance Partners Limited
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
John BereznickiCanaccord Genuity