Loading...
LCFS logo

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.TSX:LCFS Stock Report

Market Cap CA$153.7m
Share Price
CA$4.21
My Fair Value
n/a
1Y395.3%
7D5.3%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.

TSX:LCFS Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$153.7m

Tidewater Renewables (LCFS) Stock Overview

Engages in production of renewable fuel in North America. More details

LCFS fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 22.3% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 29.98% per year

Became profitable this year

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings


LCFS Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 7 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

LCFS logo
Tidewater Renewables

BC Low Carbon Act And SAF Project Will Boost Demand

Key Takeaways Regulatory changes and strong operational ramp-up are boosting demand, revenue predictability, and profitability for the company's renewable fuels business. Diversification of customers, supply chain improvements, and SAF project development enhance earnings stability, margin growth, and medium-term expansion prospects.
View narrative
CA$5
FV
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
36.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
7users have followed this narrative
LCFS logo
Tidewater Renewables

Electrification And Overcapacity Will Erode Margins Even As British Columbia Rules Cushion Declines

Key Takeaways Accelerating electrification and emerging battery technologies threaten core demand, while global competition and regulatory changes heighten operational and revenue risks. Industry overcapacity and concentrated contract reliance may trigger margin erosion, underutilization, and instability in servicing growing debt.
View narrative
CA$3.5
FV
20.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
22.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
LCFS logo
Tidewater Renewables

Growing Global Net-Zero Mandates Will Fuel Renewable Diesel Expansion

Key Takeaways Clean fuel mandates and tightening carbon credit markets are set to drive significant pricing power, revenue upside, and windfall high-margin earnings for Tidewater. Enhanced customer diversification and surging ESG investment flows will support stronger profitability, premium valuation, and rapid expansion of new growth projects.
View narrative
CA$5.5
FV
23.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
22.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
View Stock Community

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Tidewater Renewables
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$4.21
52 Week HighCA$4.90
52 Week LowCA$0.58
Beta0.47
1 Month Change9.07%
3 Month Change21.68%
1 Year Change395.29%
3 Year Change-66.90%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-71.65%

Recent News & Updates

CA$5.00 - That's What Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Is Worth After These Results

Nov 16
CA$5.00 - That's What Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Is Worth After These Results

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS)

Nov 04
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS)

Recent updates

CA$5.00 - That's What Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Is Worth After These Results

Nov 16
CA$5.00 - That's What Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Is Worth After These Results

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS)

Nov 04
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS)

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.'s (TSE:LCFS) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Aug 23
Tidewater Renewables Ltd.'s (TSE:LCFS) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Aug 08
Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Estimating The Fair Value Of Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS)

May 08
Estimating The Fair Value Of Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS)
User avatar

British Columbia Regulation Will Boost Renewable Diesel Production

Regulatory changes in British Columbia and potential U.S. import duties are expected to boost demand and market share, enhancing Tidewater's revenue and margins.

Improved Revenues Required Before Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Stock's 282% Jump Looks Justified

Mar 17
Improved Revenues Required Before Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Stock's 282% Jump Looks Justified

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Tidewater Renewables' (TSE:LCFS) Returns On Capital

Mar 01
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Tidewater Renewables' (TSE:LCFS) Returns On Capital

Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 23
Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Too Much Debt?

Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Nov 10
Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Debt Sensibly?

Aug 16
Is Tidewater Renewables (TSE:LCFS) Using Debt Sensibly?

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Beat Analyst Profit Forecasts, And Analysts Have New Estimates

Aug 13
Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Beat Analyst Profit Forecasts, And Analysts Have New Estimates

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Revenue Forecasts

Aug 12
Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Revenue Forecasts

News Flash: 6 Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Earnings Are Under Threat

Mar 12
News Flash: 6 Analysts Think Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Earnings Are Under Threat

Shareholder Returns

LCFSCA Oil and GasCA Market
7D5.3%1.7%-1.4%
1Y395.3%9.4%16.3%

Return vs Industry: LCFS exceeded the Canadian Oil and Gas industry which returned 12.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: LCFS exceeded the Canadian Market which returned 18.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is LCFS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
LCFS volatility
LCFS Average Weekly Movement8.7%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.0%
Market Average Movement10.0%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market19.4%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: LCFS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: LCFS's weekly volatility has decreased from 26% to 9% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
202183Jeremy Baineswww.tidewater-renewables.com

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. engages in production of renewable fuel in North America. Its flagship asset is the renewable diesel & renewable hydrogen complex that is located adjacent to the Prince George Refinery. It intends to focus on the production of low carbon fuels, including renewable diesel, renewable hydrogen, and renewable natural gas.

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. Fundamentals Summary

How do Tidewater Renewables's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
LCFS fundamental statistics
Market capCA$153.67m
Earnings (TTM)CA$13.92m
Revenue (TTM)CA$269.73m
11.0x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Is LCFS overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
LCFS income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$269.73m
Cost of RevenueCA$220.56m
Gross ProfitCA$49.17m
Other ExpensesCA$35.25m
EarningsCA$13.92m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.38
Gross Margin18.23%
Net Profit Margin5.16%
Debt/Equity Ratio106.0%

How did LCFS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/20 10:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/20 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tidewater Renewables Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Trevor ReynoldsAcumen Capital Finance Partners Limited
Nathan HeywoodATB Capital Markets
John BereznickiCanaccord Genuity