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Improved Revenues Required Before Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) Stock's 282% Jump Looks Justified
Tidewater Renewables Ltd. (TSE:LCFS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 282% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 61% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Tidewater Renewables may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.1x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Tidewater Renewables
How Has Tidewater Renewables Performed Recently?
Tidewater Renewables certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tidewater Renewables.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tidewater Renewables would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 37% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.2% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Tidewater Renewables' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Tidewater Renewables' P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite Tidewater Renewables' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Tidewater Renewables' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Tidewater Renewables' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Tidewater Renewables (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tidewater Renewables might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:LCFS
Tidewater Renewables
Engages in production of renewable fuel in North America.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.
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