Stock Analysis

Gear Energy (TSE:GXE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.005

TSX:GXE
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Gear Energy Ltd. (TSE:GXE) will pay a dividend of CA$0.005 on the 29th of December. The dividend yield will be 9.1% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Gear Energy

Gear Energy's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last dividend, Gear Energy is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 199% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 85.2% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 31%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSX:GXE Historic Dividend December 13th 2023

Gear Energy Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The annual payment during the last 2 years was CA$0.04 in 2021, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$0.06. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% a year over that time. Gear Energy has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Gear Energy has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 85% per annum. Gear Energy is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Gear Energy's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gear Energy that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Gear Energy not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.