Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Frontera Energy's (TSE:FEC) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 69%

TSX:FEC
Source: Shutterstock

Frontera Energy Corporation (TSE:FEC) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 112% in the last quarter. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. Indeed, the share price is down a tragic 69% in the last three years. So it's good to see it climbing back up. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

View our latest analysis for Frontera Energy

Given that Frontera Energy didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years Frontera Energy saw its revenue shrink by 6.3% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. With revenue in decline, and profit but a dream, we can understand why the share price has been declining at 19% per year. Having said that, if growth is coming in the future, now may be the low ebb for the company. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:FEC Earnings and Revenue Growth February 25th 2021

If you are thinking of buying or selling Frontera Energy stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Frontera Energy's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Frontera Energy's TSR, which was a 63% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Over the last year, Frontera Energy shareholders took a loss of 12%. In contrast the market gained about 14%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 18% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last three years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Frontera Energy you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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