Those who invested in Cenovus Energy (TSE:CVE) a year ago are up 169%

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 15, 2022
TSX:CVE
Source: Shutterstock

Unfortunately, investing is risky - companies can and do go bankrupt. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSE:CVE) share price had more than doubled in just one year - up 167%. On top of that, the share price is up 29% in about a quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report. Also impressive, the stock is up 124% over three years, making long term shareholders happy, too.

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

See our latest analysis for Cenovus Energy

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Cenovus Energy went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.

When a company has just transitioned to profitability, earnings per share growth is not always the best way to look at the share price action.

We doubt the modest 1.6% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. However the year on year revenue growth of 182% would help. We do see some companies suppress earnings in order to accelerate revenue growth.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:CVE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 15th 2022

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Cenovus Energy will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Cenovus Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 169% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 16% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cenovus Energy you should know about.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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