Stock Analysis

Cardinal Energy (TSE:CJ) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

TSX:CJ
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Cardinal Energy Ltd. (TSE:CJ) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that CJ is potentially undervalued!

What Is Cardinal Energy's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cardinal Energy had debt of CA$67.0m at the end of June 2022, a reduction from CA$195.7m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$6.70m, its net debt is less, at about CA$60.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CJ Debt to Equity History October 25th 2022

How Healthy Is Cardinal Energy's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cardinal Energy had liabilities of CA$98.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$181.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$6.70m in cash and CA$91.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$182.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Cardinal Energy shares are worth a total of CA$1.38b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Cardinal Energy's net debt is only 0.11 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 41.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Cardinal Energy grew its EBIT by 236% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Cardinal Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Cardinal Energy recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Cardinal Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Zooming out, Cardinal Energy seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Cardinal Energy (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.