Stock Analysis

Do ARC Resources' (TSE:ARX) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

TSX:ARX
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like ARC Resources (TSE:ARX). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

Check out our latest analysis for ARC Resources

ARC Resources' Improving Profits

Over the last three years, ARC Resources has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Outstandingly, ARC Resources' EPS shot from CA$1.26 to CA$3.71, over the last year. Year on year growth of 196% is certainly a sight to behold. Shareholders will be hopeful that this is a sign of the company reaching an inflection point.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. The music to the ears of ARC Resources shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 24% to 40% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. That's great to see, on both counts.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:ARX Earnings and Revenue History February 13th 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of ARC Resources' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are ARC Resources Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a CA$9.7b company like ARC Resources. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. To be specific, they have CA$26m worth of shares. This considerable investment should help drive long-term value in the business. While their ownership only accounts for 0.3%, this is still a considerable amount at stake to encourage the business to maintain a strategy that will deliver value to shareholders.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. For companies with market capitalisations between CA$5.3b and CA$16b, like ARC Resources, the median CEO pay is around CA$6.1m.

ARC Resources offered total compensation worth CA$4.4m to its CEO in the year to December 2021. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Does ARC Resources Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

ARC Resources' earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bucket-load of shares, and the CEO pay seems really quite reasonable. The strong EPS improvement suggests the businesses is humming along. ARC Resources certainly ticks a few boxes, so we think it's probably well worth further consideration. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for ARC Resources that you should be aware of before investing here.

Although ARC Resources certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.