ARC Resources Ltd.

TSX:ARX Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$18.0b

ARC Resources Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 3/6

ARC Resources has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 11.2%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 11.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.8% per year. ARC Resources's return on equity is 16.9%, and it has net margins of 22.7%.

Key information

11.15%

Earnings growth rate

12.89%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas Industry Growth42.11%
Revenue growth rate4.83%
Return on equity16.89%
Net Margin22.74%
Next Earnings Update30 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Execution And Capital Returns

Narrative Update on ARC Resources The updated analyst model lifts the fair value estimate for ARC Resources by about CA$1 to roughly CA$31.21. This reflects analyst expectations for slightly higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple.

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Depend On Steady Execution And Buybacks

ARC Resources' analyst price target has shifted modestly higher to CA$30.29 from CA$29.71 as analysts factor in updated fair value assumptions alongside recent mixed target changes and ratings moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around ARC Resources shows a mix of optimism and caution, which feeds into the modest upward move in the consensus price target.

Global LNG Exposure And Attachie Uncertainty Will Shape Future Cash Flow Concentration

Catalysts About ARC Resources ARC Resources is a Canadian energy producer focused on natural gas and condensate development in the Montney resource play. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Steady Execution And Balanced Capital Returns

ARC Resources' updated fair value estimate has shifted to CA$29.71 from CA$28.68, as analysts factor in recent price target cuts and downgrades while maintaining broadly similar assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has leaned more cautious, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings.

Long LNG Demand And Montney Reserves Will Support Stronger Future Cash Flows

Catalysts About ARC Resources ARC Resources is a Canadian energy producer focused on natural gas and condensate development in the Montney resource play. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Depend On Execution Amid Cautious Bank Downgrades

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ARC Resources by a few Canadian dollars to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about CA$28.68, citing a series of recent downgrades and target cuts from major Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ARC Resources has shifted toward a more cautious stance, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more neutral or bearish ratings.

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Higher Margins Despite Softer Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for ARC Resources to CA$28.63 from CA$29.33, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets and updated views on slightly softer revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has tilted more cautious, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more conservative ratings.

ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Higher Payouts Despite Cautious Ratings

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ARC Resources by about C$1, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue and profit margins, as well as a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts lowering ratings and price targets while still recognizing some supportive elements in the valuation and earnings setup.

ARX: Higher Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Future Cash Return Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ARC Resources by about C$1 to C$2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and modestly reduced future P/E assumptions, while still incorporating relatively stable views on growth, margins and discount rates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources points to a slightly more cautious tone on valuation, with price targets trimmed by C$1 to C$2 while ratings remain supportive.

ARX: Higher Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Shareholder Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on ARC Resources to C$30 from C$32 as they reset expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. They still see support for a fair value estimate near $31.05.

ARC Resources' (TSE:ARX) Dividend Will Be Increased To CA$0.21

Dec 19
ARC Resources' (TSE:ARX) Dividend Will Be Increased To CA$0.21

ARX: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ARC Resources, with recent revisions including cuts from C$35 to C$33 and from C$32 to C$30. They cited modestly softer growth assumptions, which are partly offset by slightly stronger margin expectations.

ARX: Dividend Boost And Share Buybacks Will Drive Upside Momentum

Analysts have lowered their price target for ARC Resources from approximately C$31.58 to C$30.94. This change reflects recent downward adjustments due to expectations of lower profit margins and moderated revenue growth.

ARX: Dividend Increase And Index Inclusion Will Drive Further Upside

ARC Resources' analyst price target has been reduced slightly from C$32.33 to C$31.58, as analysts cite more modest revenue growth expectations, partially offset by an improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding the company's valuation and growth prospects.

ARX: Buyback Plan And Index Addition Will Drive Shareholder Returns

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for ARC Resources to C$33 from C$35. They cite modest revisions to fair value and profitability expectations following a recent update to their financial models.

ARC Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Oct 20
ARC Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside

ARC Resources’ analyst price target has been lowered slightly from C$35 to C$33. Analysts cite a more cautious outlook driven by modest declines in forecast fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins.

Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target for ARC Resources from C$35 to C$33. They cited modest shifts in revenue growth assumptions and an updated profit margin outlook as key factors for the revision.

Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside

Consensus analyst targets for ARC Resources were marginally revised lower, primarily reflecting updated commodity price assumptions and sector outlooks despite ongoing confidence in the company’s strong operational performance and capital returns, resulting in a minimal price target reduction from CA$33.94 to CA$33.82. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited consistent operational performance and reaffirmed positive outlooks, reflected in maintained Outperform/Buy ratings despite minor target reductions or increases.

Is ARC Resources (TSE:ARX) A Risky Investment?

Jun 22
Is ARC Resources (TSE:ARX) A Risky Investment?

ARC Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

May 31
ARC Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story
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Attachie's Growth Surge Powers Strong Revenue And Margin Expansion With Rising Profitability

Strategic initiatives like Attachie Phase 1 and U.S. market redirection boost margins and positively impact future earnings.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How ARC Resources makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:ARX Revenue, expenses and earnings (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 266,3961,4551700
31 Dec 256,0761,2751760
30 Sep 255,8541,3861940
30 Jun 255,6871,5002150
31 Mar 255,4251,3432240
31 Dec 245,0991,1242480
30 Sep 245,0641,2602350
30 Jun 245,2531,1682570
31 Mar 245,3081,2072590
31 Dec 235,6551,5972120
30 Sep 236,4121,8312160
30 Jun 237,1412,4631970
31 Mar 238,2992,9471770
31 Dec 228,6412,3022130
30 Sep 228,2572,2392030
30 Jun 227,7091,4251940
31 Mar 226,5835392140
31 Dec 215,1117871670
30 Sep 213,7062291510
30 Jun 212,4131101420
31 Mar 211,3891891080
31 Dec 201,134-547990
30 Sep 201,098-6781010
30 Jun 201,085-669880
31 Mar 201,161-531760
31 Dec 191,222-28840
30 Sep 191,215142670
30 Jun 191,332245790
31 Mar 191,384104870
31 Dec 181,396214850
30 Sep 181,412128880
30 Jun 181,288131770
31 Mar 181,242301790
31 Dec 171,209389700
30 Sep 171,186482680
30 Jun 171,156462730
31 Mar 171,072280790
31 Dec 16975201990
30 Sep 16933-21980
30 Jun 16944-284940
31 Mar 161,027-277900
31 Dec 151,090-343690
30 Sep 151,218-174810
30 Jun 151,425151790

Quality Earnings: ARX has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ARX's current net profit margins (22.7%) are lower than last year (24.8%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ARX's earnings have grown by 11.2% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ARX's earnings growth over the past year (8.3%) is below its 5-year average (11.2% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: ARX earnings growth over the past year (8.3%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry -1.6%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: ARX's Return on Equity (16.9%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 00:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ARC Resources Ltd. is covered by 33 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Grant HoferBarclays