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ARC Resources Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
ARC Resources has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 6.2%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 5.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 1.6% per year. ARC Resources's return on equity is 16%, and it has net margins of 19.7%.
Key information
6.21%
Earnings growth rate
8.86%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 42.11% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.64% |
| Return on equity | 15.95% |
| Net Margin | 19.73% |
| Next Earnings Update | 05 Nov 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 04
ARX: Shell Deal Completion And Revised Outlook Will Shape Future Earnings Debate
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for ARC Resources, with the updated implied price target now at about CA$34.48. This reflects the impact of a higher discount rate, softer assumed revenue growth, a leaner profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jul 23
ARX: Shell Takeover Approval Will Drive Repricing Debate On Future Earnings
ARC Resources' updated analyst price target reflects a modest reset in fair value to about CA$36 from roughly CA$38, as analysts balance higher assumed discount rates against firmer margin expectations and lower projected future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources shows a mix of reactions, with some bullish analysts lifting price targets while others reassess their stance following corporate developments, including the ARC Resources and Shell transaction referenced in commentary.
Narrative Update • Jul 09
ARX: Shell Offer And Proxy Support Will Shape Balanced Risk Outlook
Analysts have raised the implied fair value for ARC Resources to CA$31.00 from CA$25.00, citing expectations for less severe revenue declines, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, even with a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ARC Resources highlights a cautious shift in sentiment, with several bearish analysts reassessing the stock after recent corporate developments and sector news.
Narrative Update • Jun 25
ARX: Future Returns Will Hinge On Shell Deal Approval And Integration
ARC Resources' analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to about CA$33.18 from approximately CA$33.24, as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates while keeping key assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E essentially unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research around ARC Resources points to a divided view on the stock, with some analysts adjusting price targets higher and others moving to more cautious stances, including a series of downgrades.Narrative Update • Jun 06
ARX: Future Returns Will Depend On Shell Deal Execution And Integration
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for ARC Resources to CA$33.24 from CA$31.21, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, P/E and margins following recent target changes and rating revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on ARC Resources shows a split view, with some analysts raising price targets and others moving to more cautious ratings following corporate developments and deal news.Narrative Update • Apr 25
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Execution And Capital Returns
Narrative Update on ARC Resources The updated analyst model lifts the fair value estimate for ARC Resources by about CA$1 to roughly CA$31.21. This reflects analyst expectations for slightly higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Apr 10
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Depend On Steady Execution And Buybacks
ARC Resources' analyst price target has shifted modestly higher to CA$30.29 from CA$29.71 as analysts factor in updated fair value assumptions alongside recent mixed target changes and ratings moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around ARC Resources shows a mix of optimism and caution, which feeds into the modest upward move in the consensus price target.New Narrative • Apr 09
Global LNG Exposure And Attachie Uncertainty Will Shape Future Cash Flow Concentration
Catalysts About ARC Resources ARC Resources is a Canadian energy producer focused on natural gas and condensate development in the Montney resource play. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 26
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Steady Execution And Balanced Capital Returns
ARC Resources' updated fair value estimate has shifted to CA$29.71 from CA$28.68, as analysts factor in recent price target cuts and downgrades while maintaining broadly similar assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has leaned more cautious, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings.New Narrative • Mar 25
Long LNG Demand And Montney Reserves Will Support Stronger Future Cash Flows
Catalysts About ARC Resources ARC Resources is a Canadian energy producer focused on natural gas and condensate development in the Montney resource play. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 09
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Depend On Execution Amid Cautious Bank Downgrades
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ARC Resources by a few Canadian dollars to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about CA$28.68, citing a series of recent downgrades and target cuts from major Canadian banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ARC Resources has shifted toward a more cautious stance, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more neutral or bearish ratings.Narrative Update • Feb 23
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Higher Margins Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for ARC Resources to CA$28.63 from CA$29.33, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets and updated views on slightly softer revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has tilted more cautious, with several firms trimming price targets and some moving to more conservative ratings.Narrative Update • Feb 09
ARX: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Higher Payouts Despite Cautious Ratings
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ARC Resources by about C$1, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue and profit margins, as well as a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts lowering ratings and price targets while still recognizing some supportive elements in the valuation and earnings setup.Narrative Update • Jan 25
ARX: Higher Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Future Cash Return Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ARC Resources by about C$1 to C$2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and modestly reduced future P/E assumptions, while still incorporating relatively stable views on growth, margins and discount rates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources points to a slightly more cautious tone on valuation, with price targets trimmed by C$1 to C$2 while ratings remain supportive.Narrative Update • Jan 09
ARX: Higher Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Shareholder Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on ARC Resources to C$30 from C$32 as they reset expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. They still see support for a fair value estimate near $31.05.Analysis Article • Dec 19
ARC Resources' (TSE:ARX) Dividend Will Be Increased To CA$0.21
ARC Resources Ltd. ( TSE:ARX ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 15th of January to...Narrative Update • Dec 14
ARX: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ARC Resources, with recent revisions including cuts from C$35 to C$33 and from C$32 to C$30. They cited modestly softer growth assumptions, which are partly offset by slightly stronger margin expectations.Narrative Update • Nov 28
ARX: Dividend Boost And Share Buybacks Will Drive Upside Momentum
Analysts have lowered their price target for ARC Resources from approximately C$31.58 to C$30.94. This change reflects recent downward adjustments due to expectations of lower profit margins and moderated revenue growth.Narrative Update • Nov 14
ARX: Dividend Increase And Index Inclusion Will Drive Further Upside
ARC Resources' analyst price target has been reduced slightly from C$32.33 to C$31.58, as analysts cite more modest revenue growth expectations, partially offset by an improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ARC Resources reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding the company's valuation and growth prospects.Narrative Update • Oct 31
ARX: Buyback Plan And Index Addition Will Drive Shareholder Returns
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for ARC Resources to C$33 from C$35. They cite modest revisions to fair value and profitability expectations following a recent update to their financial models.Analysis Article • Oct 20
ARC Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story
ARC Resources Ltd.'s ( TSE:ARX ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x might make it look like a buy right now...Narrative Update • Oct 17
Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside
ARC Resources’ analyst price target has been lowered slightly from C$35 to C$33. Analysts cite a more cautious outlook driven by modest declines in forecast fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside
Analysts have lowered their price target for ARC Resources from C$35 to C$33. They cited modest shifts in revenue growth assumptions and an updated profit margin outlook as key factors for the revision.Narrative Update • Sep 16
Kakwa Integration And LNG Canada Will Fuel Future Upside
Consensus analyst targets for ARC Resources were marginally revised lower, primarily reflecting updated commodity price assumptions and sector outlooks despite ongoing confidence in the company’s strong operational performance and capital returns, resulting in a minimal price target reduction from CA$33.94 to CA$33.82. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited consistent operational performance and reaffirmed positive outlooks, reflected in maintained Outperform/Buy ratings despite minor target reductions or increases.
New Narrative • Nov 25
Attachie's Growth Surge Powers Strong Revenue And Margin Expansion With Rising Profitability
Strategic initiatives like Attachie Phase 1 and U.S. market redirection boost margins and positively impact future earnings.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How ARC Resources makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 7,155 | 1,411 | 244 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 6,396 | 1,455 | 170 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 6,076 | 1,275 | 176 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,854 | 1,386 | 194 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 5,687 | 1,500 | 215 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 5,425 | 1,343 | 224 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 5,099 | 1,124 | 248 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 5,064 | 1,260 | 235 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5,253 | 1,168 | 257 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 5,308 | 1,207 | 259 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 5,655 | 1,597 | 212 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 6,412 | 1,831 | 216 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 7,141 | 2,463 | 197 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 8,299 | 2,947 | 177 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 8,641 | 2,302 | 213 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 8,257 | 2,239 | 203 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 7,709 | 1,425 | 194 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 6,583 | 539 | 214 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 5,111 | 787 | 167 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,706 | 229 | 151 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,413 | 110 | 142 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,389 | 189 | 108 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,134 | -547 | 99 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,098 | -678 | 101 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,085 | -669 | 88 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,161 | -531 | 76 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,222 | -28 | 84 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,215 | 142 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,332 | 245 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,384 | 104 | 87 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,396 | 214 | 85 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,412 | 128 | 88 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,288 | 131 | 77 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,242 | 301 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,209 | 389 | 70 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,186 | 482 | 68 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,156 | 462 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 1,072 | 280 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 975 | 201 | 99 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 933 | -21 | 98 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 944 | -284 | 94 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,027 | -277 | 90 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,090 | -343 | 69 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,218 | -174 | 81 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: ARX has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: ARX's current net profit margins (19.7%) are lower than last year (26.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ARX's earnings have grown by 6.2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: ARX's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: ARX had negative earnings growth (-5.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (-0.6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: ARX's Return on Equity (16%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/08 09:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ARC Resources Ltd. is covered by 34 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Harshit Gupta | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Patrick O'Rourke | ATB Cormark |
| Grant Hofer | Barclays |