Advantage Energy Ltd.

TSX:AAV Stock Report

Mkt Cap: CA$1.3b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Advantage Energy Valuation

Is AAV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AAV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AAV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.5x
PEG Ratio-0.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AAV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AAV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.4x
PEY Peyto Exploration & Development
5.5xn/aCA$2.2b
FRU Freehold Royalties
10.2x-21.9%CA$2.1b
CR Crew Energy
2.8xn/aCA$749.8m
TVE Tamarack Valley Energy
6x34.3%CA$2.1b
AAV Advantage Energy
4x-28.4%CA$1.3b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AAV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.0%
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Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AAV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AAV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.8x
Fair PE Ratio5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AAV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AAV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AAV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$8.08
CA$13.29
+64.5%
13.9%CA$17.00CA$10.50n/a14
Mar ’24CA$8.19
CA$13.22
+61.4%
14.6%CA$17.00CA$10.50n/a14
Feb ’24CA$7.98
CA$13.72
+71.9%
11.3%CA$17.00CA$11.85n/a14
Jan ’24CA$9.47
CA$14.60
+54.1%
9.3%CA$17.00CA$12.00n/a13
Dec ’23CA$11.72
CA$14.60
+24.5%
9.3%CA$17.00CA$12.00n/a13
Nov ’23CA$10.49
CA$14.60
+39.1%
9.3%CA$17.00CA$12.00n/a13
Oct ’23CA$9.93
CA$14.71
+48.2%
10.1%CA$17.00CA$12.00n/a13
Sep ’23CA$11.17
CA$14.64
+31.1%
9.1%CA$17.00CA$12.00n/a14
Aug ’23CA$11.01
CA$14.18
+28.8%
11.3%CA$16.50CA$11.00n/a14
Jul ’23CA$8.00
CA$14.04
+75.4%
12.7%CA$16.00CA$8.50n/a14
Jun ’23CA$11.26
CA$12.95
+15.0%
12.8%CA$15.50CA$8.50n/a14
May ’23CA$10.73
CA$12.88
+20.0%
13.0%CA$15.50CA$8.50n/a14
Apr ’23CA$8.95
CA$10.75
+20.1%
14.4%CA$13.00CA$8.50n/a13
Mar ’23CA$7.68
CA$9.75
+27.0%
10.2%CA$12.00CA$8.50CA$8.1914
Feb ’23CA$6.96
CA$9.27
+33.2%
8.3%CA$10.50CA$8.00CA$7.9814
Jan ’23CA$7.41
CA$8.95
+20.8%
7.0%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$9.4714
Dec ’22CA$6.74
CA$9.05
+34.3%
6.8%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$11.7214
Nov ’22CA$7.33
CA$9.06
+23.6%
5.5%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$10.4913
Oct ’22CA$6.40
CA$7.48
+16.9%
12.5%CA$9.00CA$6.00CA$9.9312
Sep ’22CA$5.33
CA$6.69
+25.5%
11.3%CA$8.00CA$5.50CA$11.1712
Aug ’22CA$4.69
CA$6.50
+38.6%
9.4%CA$7.50CA$5.50CA$11.0113
Jul ’22CA$5.06
CA$5.61
+10.8%
8.8%CA$6.50CA$4.50CA$8.0013
Jun ’22CA$4.25
CA$4.57
+7.4%
11.4%CA$5.50CA$4.00CA$11.2613
May ’22CA$3.26
CA$4.43
+35.9%
13.0%CA$5.50CA$3.50CA$10.7313
Apr ’22CA$2.97
CA$4.01
+35.0%
13.3%CA$5.50CA$3.25CA$8.9514
Mar ’22CA$2.57
CA$3.87
+50.4%
15.8%CA$5.50CA$3.00CA$7.6813

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