Advantage Energy Ltd.

TSX:AAV Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$1.7b

Advantage Energy Management

Management criteria checks 3/4

Advantage Energy's CEO is John Festival, appointed in Jun 2026, has a tenure of less than a year. directly owns 0.18% of the company’s shares, worth CA$3.09M. The average tenure of the management team and the board of directors is 8.4 years and 2.3 years respectively.

Key information

John Festival

Chief executive officer

CA$241.9k

Total compensation

CEO salary percentagen/a
CEO tenureless than a year
CEO ownership0.2%
Management average tenure8.4yrs
Board average tenure2.3yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 23

AAV: Liquids Mix And Buybacks Will Support Richer Future P/E

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Advantage Energy slightly higher to CA$16.89 from CA$16.83, as updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E coalesce with a modestly higher Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advantage Energy has been mixed, but there are clear pockets of optimism that readers should understand when thinking about valuation and execution risk.
Narrative Update Jun 06

AAV: Higher Liquids Mix And Buybacks Will Support Richer Future P/E

Narrative Update: Advantage Energy Price Target Shift The analyst price target for Advantage Energy has been revised slightly lower to CA$16.83 from CA$17.03 as analysts weigh recent mixed research. One firm trimmed its outlook, while another lifted its target by CA$1.
Narrative Update Apr 22

AAV: Higher Liquids Mix And Richer Future P/E Will Support Upside

Narrative Update Analysts now place Advantage Energy's fair value at about CA$17.03, up from CA$15.00. This reflects updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a marginally lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple informed by recent rating changes and price target adjustments from major firms.
Narrative Update Apr 07

AAV: Higher Liquids Production And Resilient Margins Will Support Future Upside

Analysts now set Advantage Energy's price target at CA$15.00, compared with the prior fair value estimate of CA$18.41. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after a mix of recent downgrades, target increases and upgrades across the Street.
Narrative Update Mar 24

AAV: Rising Confidence In Resilient Margins Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Advantage Energy higher to CA$18.41 from CA$18.23, citing updated assumptions around revenue, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E, following a recent upgrade from National Bank. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest upgrade as a signal of rising confidence in Advantage Energy's ability to support a higher valuation over time, particularly as assumptions around revenue, margins and future P/E have been updated.
Narrative Update Mar 07

AAV: Resilient Margins And Cash Flows Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Advantage Energy to CA$18.23, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research has added a more optimistic tone to the story around Advantage Energy, with bullish analysts highlighting what they see as improving fundamentals and a valuation that still leaves room for their higher price targets.
Narrative Update Feb 20

AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Outlook Tightens

Analysts have raised their price target on Advantage Energy to CA$18.23 from CA$18.22, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, along with recent bullish research that includes an upgrade in rating. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Advantage Energy, with bullish analysts tightening their valuation work and expressing increased confidence in the company’s setup after revisiting key inputs such as discount rates, revenue assumptions, margin expectations, and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update Feb 06

AAV: Higher Required Returns Will Still Support Bullish Long Term Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Advantage Energy to about $14.73 from roughly $14.82, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to CA$14.73 from CA$14.82, reflecting modest model adjustments.
Narrative Update Jan 23

AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Outlook Tightens

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Advantage Energy to C$13.50 from C$14.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations reflected in the new fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the revised C$13.50 target as a recalibration to updated inputs rather than a shift in their overall stance on Advantage Energy.
Narrative Update Jan 08

AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Assumptions Tighten

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their near-term outlook for Advantage Energy, with recent Street research moving price targets to around C$13.50 to C$14. This shift reflects updated views on its P/E assumptions, growth profile, and risk factors.
Analysis Article Jan 07

Investors Appear Satisfied With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Prospects

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider...
Narrative Update Dec 25

AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Drive Upside Despite Recent Downgrades

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Advantage Energy slightly lower, trimming it by C$0.50 to reflect more cautious sector views and recent downward revisions from major brokerage firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Advantage Energy has been mixed, with some firms tempering expectations while others highlight the companys resilient fundamentals and disciplined execution.
Narrative Update Dec 10

AAV Will See Improving Margins Support Bullish Long Term Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Advantage Energy to approximately C$14.82 from about C$14.16, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a lower anticipated future P E multiple, despite recent target reductions and rating changes on the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture on Advantage Energy, with modest optimism on long term fundamentals tempered by near term caution on valuation and execution risks.
Analysis Article Sep 23

Investors Appear Satisfied With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Prospects

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36x Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article May 30

Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) Not Flying Under The Radar

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or...
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New Narrative Mar 19

Integration Of Charlie Lake Assets Will Improve Future Cash Flow And Profitability

Strategic acquisitions and spending cuts have led to improved cash flow, profitability, and potential for earnings growth through disciplined financial management.
Analysis Article Feb 27

Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Jan 09

Is There An Opportunity With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) 43% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Advantage Energy fair value estimate is CA$18.17 Advantage...
Analysis Article Nov 12

Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Oct 02

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Advantage Energy is CA$10.50 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article Aug 23

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.7x Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) may be sending bearish signals at...
Analysis Article Aug 01

Advantage Energy's (TSE:AAV) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) recently. Our analysis has...
Analysis Article Jul 30

Is Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) Revenue Forecasts By 19%

Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...
Analysis Article Apr 10

Is Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Feb 12

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Tunnel

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider...

CEO

John Festival (65 yo)

less than a year
Tenure
CA$241,860
Compensation

Mr. John Larry Festival, B.Sc. P.Eng., is Director of Compass Energy Systems Ltd. He is an Interim Chief Executive Officer of Advantage Energy Ltd. from June 15, 2026.He has been Director at Advantage Ene...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Festival
Chairman of the Board & Interim CEOless than a yearCA$241.86k0.18%
CA$ 3.1m
Craig Blackwood
Chief Financial Officer17.5yrsCA$1.66m0.70%
CA$ 12.0m
Geoff Keyser
VP of Corporate Development4.5yrsCA$1.39m0.090%
CA$ 1.6m
Neil Bokenfohr
Senior Vice President12.3yrsCA$1.56m0.95%
CA$ 16.3m
Darren Tisdale
Vice President of Geosciences4.5yrsCA$1.39m0.13%
CA$ 2.2m
Brian Bagnell
VP of Commodities & Capital Markets2.8yrsno data0.012%
CA$ 203.8k
Anthony Coombs
Controller21.8yrsno datano data
Jay Reid
Corporate Secretary25.3yrsno datano data
8.4yrs
Average Tenure
62yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: AAV's management team is seasoned and experienced (8.4 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Festival
Chairman of the Board & Interim CEO2.3yrsCA$241.86k0.18%
CA$ 3.1m
David Smith
Independent Director1.8yrsCA$214.90k0.060%
CA$ 1.0m
Jill Angevine
Independent Director11.2yrsCA$212.00k0.048%
CA$ 824.9k
Norman MacDonald
Independent Director5.2yrsCA$233.90k0.060%
CA$ 1.0m
Katherine Minyard
Independent Director1.2yrsCA$120.85kno data
Lawrence Massaro
Independent Director1.3yrsCA$166.68kno data
Daniel Farb
Independent Director1.3yrsCA$167.18k0.045%
CA$ 773.2k
Donald Clague
Independent Director6.1yrsCA$195.00k0.054%
CA$ 927.9k
Deirdre Choate
Independent Director5.2yrsCA$200.00k0.036%
CA$ 628.8k
2.3yrs
Average Tenure
62yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: AAV's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.3 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/02 00:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Advantage Energy Ltd. is covered by 20 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Kalvin BaimATB Cormark
Laique Ahmad Amir ArifATB Cormark