When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Advantage Energy could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Advantage Energy
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Advantage Energy would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 73% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 32% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 78% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Advantage Energy's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Advantage Energy's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Advantage Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Advantage Energy is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:AAV
Advantage Energy
Engages in the acquisition, exploitation, development, and production natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Province of Alberta, Canada.
High growth potential and fair value.
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