Advantage Energy Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Advantage Energy's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -28.7%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 9.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 5.1% per year. Advantage Energy's return on equity is 6.3%, and it has net margins of 17.5%.
Key information
-28.74%
Earnings growth rate
-26.57%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 42.11% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.11% |
| Return on equity | 6.34% |
| Net Margin | 17.52% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 06
AAV: Higher Liquids Mix And Buybacks Will Support Richer Future P/E
Narrative Update: Advantage Energy Price Target Shift The analyst price target for Advantage Energy has been revised slightly lower to CA$16.83 from CA$17.03 as analysts weigh recent mixed research. One firm trimmed its outlook, while another lifted its target by CA$1.Narrative Update • Apr 22
AAV: Higher Liquids Mix And Richer Future P/E Will Support Upside
Narrative Update Analysts now place Advantage Energy's fair value at about CA$17.03, up from CA$15.00. This reflects updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a marginally lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple informed by recent rating changes and price target adjustments from major firms.Narrative Update • Apr 07
AAV: Higher Liquids Production And Resilient Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts now set Advantage Energy's price target at CA$15.00, compared with the prior fair value estimate of CA$18.41. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after a mix of recent downgrades, target increases and upgrades across the Street.Narrative Update • Mar 24
AAV: Rising Confidence In Resilient Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Advantage Energy higher to CA$18.41 from CA$18.23, citing updated assumptions around revenue, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E, following a recent upgrade from National Bank. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest upgrade as a signal of rising confidence in Advantage Energy's ability to support a higher valuation over time, particularly as assumptions around revenue, margins and future P/E have been updated.Narrative Update • Mar 07
AAV: Resilient Margins And Cash Flows Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Advantage Energy to CA$18.23, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research has added a more optimistic tone to the story around Advantage Energy, with bullish analysts highlighting what they see as improving fundamentals and a valuation that still leaves room for their higher price targets.Narrative Update • Feb 20
AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Outlook Tightens
Analysts have raised their price target on Advantage Energy to CA$18.23 from CA$18.22, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, along with recent bullish research that includes an upgrade in rating. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around Advantage Energy, with bullish analysts tightening their valuation work and expressing increased confidence in the company’s setup after revisiting key inputs such as discount rates, revenue assumptions, margin expectations, and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update • Feb 06
AAV: Higher Required Returns Will Still Support Bullish Long Term Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Advantage Energy to about $14.73 from roughly $14.82, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to CA$14.73 from CA$14.82, reflecting modest model adjustments.Narrative Update • Jan 23
AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Outlook Tightens
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Advantage Energy to C$13.50 from C$14.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations reflected in the new fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the revised C$13.50 target as a recalibration to updated inputs rather than a shift in their overall stance on Advantage Energy.Narrative Update • Jan 08
AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Support Upside As P/E Assumptions Tighten
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their near-term outlook for Advantage Energy, with recent Street research moving price targets to around C$13.50 to C$14. This shift reflects updated views on its P/E assumptions, growth profile, and risk factors.Analysis Article • Jan 07
Investors Appear Satisfied With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Prospects
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider...Narrative Update • Dec 25
AAV: Long Term Cash Flow Strength Will Drive Upside Despite Recent Downgrades
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Advantage Energy slightly lower, trimming it by C$0.50 to reflect more cautious sector views and recent downward revisions from major brokerage firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Advantage Energy has been mixed, with some firms tempering expectations while others highlight the companys resilient fundamentals and disciplined execution.Narrative Update • Dec 10
AAV Will See Improving Margins Support Bullish Long Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Advantage Energy to approximately C$14.82 from about C$14.16, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a lower anticipated future P E multiple, despite recent target reductions and rating changes on the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture on Advantage Energy, with modest optimism on long term fundamentals tempered by near term caution on valuation and execution risks.Analysis Article • Sep 23
Investors Appear Satisfied With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Prospects
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36x Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) may be sending very bearish signals...Analysis Article • May 30
Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) Not Flying Under The Radar
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or...
New Narrative • Mar 19
Integration Of Charlie Lake Assets Will Improve Future Cash Flow And Profitability
Strategic acquisitions and spending cuts have led to improved cash flow, profitability, and potential for earnings growth through disciplined financial management.Analysis Article • Feb 27
Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Jan 09
Is There An Opportunity With Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) 43% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Advantage Energy fair value estimate is CA$18.17 Advantage...Analysis Article • Nov 12
Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Oct 02
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Advantage Energy is CA$10.50 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Aug 23
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.7x Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) may be sending bearish signals at...Analysis Article • Aug 01
Advantage Energy's (TSE:AAV) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) recently. Our analysis has...Analysis Article • Jul 30
Is Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jun 25
Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) Revenue Forecasts By 19%
Advantage Energy Ltd. ( TSE:AAV ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Is Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Feb 12
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Advantage Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:AAV) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider...Analysis Article • Jan 28
A Look At The Fair Value Of Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Advantage Energy is CA$7.72 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Advantage Energy makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 637 | 112 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 646 | 53 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 624 | 61 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 625 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 571 | -30 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 498 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 489 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 501 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 507 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 509 | 102 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 569 | 175 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 644 | 187 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 822 | 349 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 858 | 339 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 809 | 585 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 727 | 587 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 538 | 432 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 465 | 412 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 384 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 316 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 268 | -18 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 235 | -284 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 239 | -310 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 228 | -315 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 233 | -292 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 247 | -25 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 242 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 251 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 243 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 225 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 208 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 197 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 217 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 226 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 234 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 233 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 197 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 157 | -16 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 129 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 121 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 121 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 126 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 139 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 151 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: AAV has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: AAV became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: AAV has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -28.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: AAV has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: AAV has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (-13.8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: AAV's Return on Equity (6.3%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/15 18:51 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Advantage Energy Ltd. is covered by 19 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Patrick O'Rourke | ATB Cormark |
| Kalvin Baim | ATB Cormark |
| Laique Ahmad Amir Arif | ATB Cormark |