Stock Analysis

Guardian Capital Group's (TSE:GCG.A) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

TSX:GCG.A
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Guardian Capital Group Limited (TSE:GCG.A) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 19th of April to CA$0.24. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 2.0%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Guardian Capital Group

Guardian Capital Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. However, Guardian Capital Group's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 49.0% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 24%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
TSX:GCG.A Historic Dividend March 21st 2022

Guardian Capital Group Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from CA$0.17 to CA$0.96. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 19% over that duration. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. We are encouraged to see that Guardian Capital Group has grown earnings per share at 25% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

We Really Like Guardian Capital Group's Dividend

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guardian Capital Group (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.