Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Pollard Banknote (TSE:PBL) Paint A Concerning Picture

TSX:PBL
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Pollard Banknote (TSE:PBL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Pollard Banknote, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.027 = CA$10m ÷ (CA$499m - CA$105m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Pollard Banknote has an ROCE of 2.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.7%.

See our latest analysis for Pollard Banknote

roce
TSX:PBL Return on Capital Employed March 9th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Pollard Banknote compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Pollard Banknote.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Pollard Banknote, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 18%, but since then they've fallen to 2.7%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

The Bottom Line On Pollard Banknote's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Pollard Banknote's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

Like most companies, Pollard Banknote does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While Pollard Banknote may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.