With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MTY Food Group Inc.'s (TSE:MTY) P/E ratio of 13.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
The recent earnings growth at MTY Food Group would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for MTY Food Group
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on MTY Food Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The P/E?
MTY Food Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 2.8% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that MTY Food Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From MTY Food Group's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that MTY Food Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for MTY Food Group that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than MTY Food Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:MTY
MTY Food Group
Operates and franchises quick-service, fast-casual, and casual dining restaurants in Canada, the United States, and internationally.
Undervalued average dividend payer.