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MTY Food Group Inc.'s (TSE:MTY) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry
MTY Food Group Inc.'s (TSE:MTY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Hospitality industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.6x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for MTY Food Group
How MTY Food Group Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for MTY Food Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think MTY Food Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, MTY Food Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 103% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.1% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 206%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that MTY Food Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From MTY Food Group's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of MTY Food Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for MTY Food Group that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:MTY
MTY Food Group
Operates and franchises quick-service, fast-casual, and casual dining restaurants in Canada, the United States, and internationally.
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