Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think CIBT Education Group's (TSE:MBA) Statutory Earnings Might Be Conservative

As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing CIBT Education Group (TSE:MBA).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months CIBT Education Group made a profit of CA$2.23m on revenue of CA$59.8m. The chart below shows that revenue has improved over the last three years, and, even better, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.

View our latest analysis for CIBT Education Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:MBA Earnings and Revenue History February 8th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on CIBT Education Group's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

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How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand CIBT Education Group's profit results, we need to consider the CA$1.4m expense attributed to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to November 2020, CIBT Education Group had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On CIBT Education Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant unusual expense will make CIBT Education Group's statutory profit lower than it would otherwise have been. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that CIBT Education Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 51% over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for CIBT Education Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of CIBT Education Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About TSX:GEC

Global Education Communities

Operates as an education and student housing investment company in Canada and internationally.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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