Stock Analysis

Here's Why Colabor Group (TSE:GCL) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TSX:GCL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Colabor Group Inc. (TSE:GCL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Colabor Group

What Is Colabor Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Colabor Group had CA$61.7m of debt in December 2020, down from CA$72.0m, one year before. However, it also had CA$9.19m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$52.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:GCL Debt to Equity History March 20th 2021

A Look At Colabor Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Colabor Group had liabilities of CA$97.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$47.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CA$9.19m in cash and CA$34.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$101.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$105.7m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Colabor Group has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.5, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.0. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Shareholders should be aware that Colabor Group's EBIT was down 25% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Colabor Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Colabor Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Colabor Group's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Colabor Group's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Colabor Group (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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