Stock Analysis

Empire (TSE:EMP.A) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

TSX:EMP.A
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Empire Company Limited (TSE:EMP.A) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Empire's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of February 2025 Empire had CA$1.13b of debt, an increase on CA$941.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CA$190.7m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$939.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:EMP.A Debt to Equity History April 8th 2025

How Strong Is Empire's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Empire had liabilities of CA$3.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$7.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$190.7m and CA$803.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$10.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$11.2b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

Check out our latest analysis for Empire

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Empire's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.52 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.4 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We saw Empire grow its EBIT by 9.8% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Empire's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Empire recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Empire's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Empire is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Empire insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Empire might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.